GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 19:00
versus

Barcelona
Athletic Club

Camp Nou
Pre-match analysis
85%
Victoire Barcelona
BA85
Draw10
BI5
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,40Raw implied probability71,4%Sum of the 1X2 book105,7%Operator margin removed−5,7 ptsDe-margined consensus68%Our model84.7%Measured gap+16.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 72
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 3.0 goals—49.4%28%+21.4
Home under 3.0 goals—50.6%72%−21.4
Home under 2.0 goals—22.7%44%−21.3
Home over 2.0 goals—77.1%56%+21.1
Home over 2.5 goals—60.7%42%+18.7
Home under 2.5 goals—39.3%58%−18.7
Draw or away—15.3%33%−17.7
Home win—84.7%68%+16.7
Home over 3.5 goals—38.4%22%+16.4
Home under 3.5 goals—61.6%78%−16.4
Home over 1.5 goals—82.1%67%+15.1
Home under 1.5 goals—17.9%33%−15.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

La Liga · 21:00
BARBAR
BILBIL
Camp Nou · Pre-match analysis
85%
Victoire BA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.401.40•0%
X5.005.00•0%
27.007.00•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 3.0 goals3High Signal95Home over 3.0 goals49.4%28%
95
▲+21.4pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals77.1%56%
95
▲+21.1pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5High Signal95Home over 2.5 goals60.7%42%
95
▲+18.7pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win84.7%68%
95
▲+16.7pp
Home over 3.5 goals3.5High Signal95Home over 3.5 goals38.4%22%
95
▲+16.4pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Home over 1.5 goals82.1%67%
95
▲+15.1pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal94.4Away under 1.0 goals75.8%61%
95
▲+14.8pp
Over 3.0 goals3High Signal92.9Over 3.0 goals67.3%53%
95
▲+14.3pp
Draw—Draw9.9%19%
95
▼-9.1pp
Away win—Away win5.4%14%
95
▼-8.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 71%model 85%▲+14pp
Xmarket 20%model 10%▼-10pp
2market 14%model 5%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
72
Eligible
72
With a price
72
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.