GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇪🇸 La Liga · — · 17:30
versus

Alaves
Getafe

Estadio Mendizorrotza
3 – 0
Full time
73%
Under 2.5 goals
AL40
Draw32
GE28
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h40%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2FC Barcelona8445+34
17Valencia CF6318−15
La Liga · 19:30
ALAALA
GETGET
Estadio Mendizorrotza
3 – 0
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕73%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
40%
Win ALA
what happened
32%
Draw
28%
Win GET
41%at opening→40%at kick-off−1 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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AL winDrawGE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1570333_210805hv1.9.354%40%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card40 → 18.9-21.1
Opponent scores first40 → 37.2-2.8
High tempo40 → 41.5+1.5
Low tempo40 → 38.8-1.2
Key substitution40 → 39-1
Early goal40 → 400

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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