GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇺🇦 Premier League · · 12:30
versus

Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar

Kolos Stadium
Pre-match analysis
72%
Under 2.5 goals
KO53
Draw31
OB16
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,82Raw implied probability54,9%Sum of the 1X2 book109,0%Operator margin removed−9,0 ptsDe-margined consensus50%Our model52.9%Measured gap+2.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 48
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals16.3%31%−14.7
Away under 1.0 goals83.7%69%+14.7
Over 2.0 goals38.4%51%−12.6
Under 2.0 goals61.6%49%+12.6
Both teams to score31.8%43%−11.2
Both teams to score: no68.2%57%+11.2
Over 2.5 goals27.8%39%−11.2
Under 2.5 goals72.2%61%+11.2
Away over 0.5 goals43.2%54%−10.8
Away under 0.5 goals56.8%46%+10.8
Over 3.5 goals11.4%22%−10.6
Under 3.5 goals88.6%78%+10.6

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

KOLKOL
OBOOBO
Kolos Stadium · Pre-match analysis
72%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.821.820%
X3.253.250%
24.304.300%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal94.1Away under 1.0 goals83.7%69%
77
+14.7pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal87.8Under 2.0 goals61.6%49%
77
+12.6pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting83.6Both teams to score: no68.2%57%
77
+11.2pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting83.6Under 2.5 goals72.2%61%
77
+11.2pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting82.4Away under 0.5 goals56.8%46%
77
+10.8pp
Under 3.5 goals3.5Interesting81.8Under 3.5 goals88.6%78%
77
+10.6pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting81.2Under 3.0 goals86.4%76%
77
+10.4pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting76.7Away under 1.5 goals88.9%80%
77
+8.9pp
Home winHome win52.9%50%
77
+2.9pp
DrawDraw31.2%28%
77
+3.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 55%model 53%-2pp
Xmarket 31%model 31%0pp
2market 23%model 16%-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
48
Eligible
48
With a price
48
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.