Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 17:00
versus
Lokomotiv
Dynamo
RZD Arena
Pre-match analysis
68%
Both teams to score
LO43
Draw23
DY34
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,92Raw implied probability34,2%Sum of the 1X2 book102,8%Operator margin removed−2,8 ptsDe-margined consensus33%Our model43.3%Measured gap+10.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 52
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals—78%61%+17
Home under 1.0 goals—22%39%−17
Home over 2.0 goals—39%23%+16
Home under 2.0 goals—61%77%−16
Over 3.0 goals—59.1%44%+15.1
Under 3.0 goals—41.1%56%−14.9
Home over 1.5 goals—55.4%41%+14.4
Home under 1.5 goals—44.6%59%−14.4
Over 2.0 goals—83.4%71%+12.4
Under 2.0 goals—16.6%29%−12.4
Over 2.5 goals—67.8%56%+11.8
Under 2.5 goals—32.2%44%−11.8
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
