GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 14:30
versus

FC Krasnodar
FC Rostov

Ozon Arena
Pre-match analysis
71%
Victoire FC Krasnodar
FC71
Draw20
FC9
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,58Raw implied probability63,3%Sum of the 1X2 book102,8%Operator margin removed−2,8 ptsDe-margined consensus62%Our model70.7%Measured gap+8.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal5 / 52
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 1.0 goals—85.3%70%+15.3
Away over 1.0 goals—14.9%30%−15.1
Away over 0.5 goals—41.5%54%−12.5
Away under 0.5 goals—58.5%46%+12.5
Both teams to score—35.7%47%−11.3
Both teams to score: no—64.3%53%+11.3
Away over 1.5 goals—10.2%20%−9.8
Away under 1.5 goals—89.8%80%+9.8
Draw or away—29.3%39%−9.7
Home win—70.7%62%+8.7
Home or draw—90.8%84%+6.8
Away over 2.0 goals—1.9%8%−6.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

russia-pl · 16:30
FC FC
FC FC
Ozon Arena · Pre-match analysis
71%
Victoire FC

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.581.58•0%
X4.214.21•0%
26.336.33•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals85.3%70%
95
▲+15.3pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal87.5Away under 0.5 goals58.5%46%
95
▲+12.5pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting83.9Both teams to score: no64.3%53%
95
▲+11.3pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting79.4Away under 1.5 goals89.8%80%
95
▲+9.8pp
Home winInteresting76.1Home win70.7%62%
95
▲+8.7pp
Draw—Draw20.1%23%
95
▼-2.9pp
Away win—Away win9.2%15%
95
▼-5.8pp
Home or draw—Home or draw90.8%84%
95
▲+6.8pp
Home or away—Home or away79.9%77%
95
▲+2.9pp
Draw or away—Draw or away29.3%39%
95
▼-9.7pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 63%model 71%▲+8pp
Xmarket 24%model 20%▼-4pp
2market 16%model 9%▼-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
52
Eligible
52
With a price
52
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.