GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 12:15
versus

Dynamo
Rodina Moskva

VTB Arena · Referee e-bulanov
Pre-match analysis
86%
Victoire Dynamo
DY86
Draw10
RO4
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,37Raw implied probability73,0%Sum of the 1X2 book105,0%Operator margin removed−5,0 ptsDe-margined consensus69%Our model85.9%Measured gap+16.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 3.0 goals—51%26%+25
Home under 3.0 goals—49%74%−25
Home over 2.0 goals—78.3%55%+23.3
Home under 2.0 goals—21.7%45%−23.3
Home over 2.5 goals—61.9%41%+20.9
Home under 2.5 goals—38.1%59%−20.9
Over 3.0 goals—67.3%49%+18.3
Under 3.0 goals—32.7%51%−18.3
Home over 3.5 goals—39.6%22%+17.6
Home under 3.5 goals—60.4%78%−17.6
Home win—85.9%69%+16.9
Draw or away—14.1%31%−16.9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

russia-pl · 14:15
DYNDYN
RODROD
VTB Arena · Pre-match analysis
86%
Victoire DY

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.371.37•0%
X5.205.20•0%
27.807.80•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 3.0 goals3High Signal95Home over 3.0 goals51%26%
95
▲+25pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals78.3%55%
95
▲+23.3pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5High Signal95Home over 2.5 goals61.9%41%
95
▲+20.9pp
Over 3.0 goals3High Signal95Over 3.0 goals67.3%49%
95
▲+18.3pp
Home over 3.5 goals3.5High Signal95Home over 3.5 goals39.6%22%
95
▲+17.6pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win85.9%69%
95
▲+16.9pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Home over 1.5 goals82.8%66%
95
▲+16.8pp
Over 4.0 goals4High Signal95Over 4.0 goals42.4%26%
95
▲+16.4pp
Draw—Draw9.7%18%
95
▼-8.3pp
Away win—Away win4.4%12%
95
▼-7.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 73%model 86%▲+13pp
Xmarket 19%model 10%▼-9pp
2market 13%model 4%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.