GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 14:30
versus

Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Krasnodar

Anzhi Arena · Referee v-kazartsev
Pre-match analysis
64%
Both teams to score: no
DI14
Draw26
FC60
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 14,13Raw implied probability24,2%Sum of the 1X2 book105,5%Operator margin removed−5,5 ptsDe-margined consensus23%Our model14.4%Measured gap−8.6 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals—18.9%38%−19.1
Home under 1.0 goals—81.1%62%+19.1
Home over 0.5 goals—45.8%61%−15.2
Home under 0.5 goals—54.2%39%+15.2
Home draw no bet—19.4%34%−14.6
Away draw no bet—80.6%66%+14.6
Home over 1.5 goals—12.6%25%−12.4
Home under 1.5 goals—87.4%75%+12.4
Away win—59.8%48%+11.8
Home or draw—40.2%52%−11.8
Both teams to score—36.2%48%−11.8
Both teams to score: no—63.8%52%+11.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

russia-pl · 16:30
DINDIN
FC FC
Anzhi Arena · Pre-match analysis
64%
Both teams to score: no

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
14.134.13•0%
X3.253.25•0%
21.981.98•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home under 1.0 goals81.1%62%
86
▲+19.1pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Home under 0.5 goals54.2%39%
86
▲+15.2pp
Away draw no betHigh Signal93.8Away draw no bet80.6%66%
86
▲+14.6pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal87.2Home under 1.5 goals87.4%75%
86
▲+12.4pp
Away winInteresting85.4Away win59.8%48%
86
▲+11.8pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting85.4Both teams to score: no63.8%52%
86
▲+11.8pp
Draw or awayInteresting75.8Draw or away85.6%77%
86
▲+8.6pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting75.8Under 3.0 goals78.6%70%
86
▲+8.6pp
Home win—Home win14.4%23%
86
▼-8.6pp
Draw—Draw25.8%29%
86
▼-3.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 24%model 14%▼-10pp
Xmarket 31%model 26%▼-5pp
2market 51%model 60%▲+9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.