GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 10:00
versus

Akron
Krylia Sovetov

Samara Arena · Referee a-prokopov
Pre-match analysis
65%
Both teams to score
AK43
Draw23
KR34
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,89Raw implied probability34,6%Sum of the 1X2 book104,6%Operator margin removed−4,6 ptsDe-margined consensus33%Our model43.2%Measured gap+10.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 1.0 goals—75.1%60%+15.1
Home under 1.0 goals—24.9%40%−15.1
Home over 2.0 goals—35%21%+14
Home under 2.0 goals—65%79%−14
Home over 1.5 goals—52.3%40%+12.3
Home under 1.5 goals—47.7%60%−12.3
Over 3.0 goals—53.3%42%+11.3
Under 3.0 goals—46.7%58%−11.3
Home draw no bet—56.3%46%+10.3
Away draw no bet—43.7%54%−10.3
Home win—43.2%33%+10.2
Draw or away—56.8%67%−10.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

russia-pl · 12:00
AKRAKR
KRYKRY
Samara Arena · Pre-match analysis
65%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.892.89•0%
X3.383.41▲+0.03%
22.452.46▲+0.01%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home over 1.0 goals75.1%60%
60
▲+15.1pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal92Home over 2.0 goals35%21%
60
▲+14pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal86.9Home over 1.5 goals52.3%40%
60
▲+12.3pp
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting83.9Over 3.0 goals53.3%42%
60
▲+11.3pp
Home draw no betInteresting80.9Home draw no bet56.3%46%
60
▲+10.3pp
Home winInteresting80.6Home win43.2%33%
60
▲+10.2pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting79.7Over 2.0 goals79.9%70%
60
▲+9.9pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting79.1Home over 0.5 goals82.7%73%
60
▲+9.7pp
Draw—Draw23.3%28%
60
▼-4.7pp
Away win—Away win33.5%39%
60
▼-5.5pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 35%model 43%▲+8pp
Xmarket 29%model 23%▼-6pp
2market 41%model 34%▼-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.