GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇷🇺 Premier League · — · 16:30
versus

Baltika
Spartak Moscow

Rostec Arena
1 – 2
Full time
62%
Under 2.5 goals
BA44
Draw29
SP27
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
22/08 05h44%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

russia-pl · 18:30
BALBAL
SPASPA
Rostec Arena
1 – 2
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕62%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
44%
Win BAL
29%
Draw
27%
Win SPA
what happened
44%at opening→44%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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BA winDrawSP win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 05hprd_20260816_af-1561355_220805hv1.9.354%45%

What would have to change

i21.2 pt span
Red card44 → 22.9-21.1
Opponent scores first44 → 41.2-2.8
Key substitution44 → 43-1
High tempo44 → 43.9-0.1
Low tempo44 → 44.1+0.1
Early goal44 → 440

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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