GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇿 Czech Liga · · 15:00
versus

Teplice
Zbrojovka Brno

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech · Referee m-kubecka
Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire Teplice
TE58
Draw26
ZB16
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,25Raw implied probability44,4%Sum of the 1X2 book107,5%Operator margin removed−7,5 ptsDe-margined consensus41%Our model58.2%Measured gap+17.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals28.3%57%−28.7
Away under 1.0 goals71.7%43%+28.7
Home draw no bet78.5%57%+21.5
Away draw no bet21.5%43%−21.5
Away over 1.5 goals18.2%37%−18.8
Away under 1.5 goals81.8%63%+18.8
Home win58.2%41%+17.2
Draw or away41.8%59%−17.2
Away over 0.5 goals53.9%71%−17.1
Away under 0.5 goals46.1%29%+17.1
Home clean sheet46.1%29%+17.1
Away win15.9%31%−15.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

TEPTEP
ZBRZBR
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech · Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire TE

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.212.25+0.04%
X3.383.380%
22.992.990%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals71.7%43%
82
+28.7pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet78.5%57%
82
+21.5pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Away under 1.5 goals81.8%63%
82
+18.8pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win58.2%41%
82
+17.2pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals46.1%29%
82
+17.1pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal95Home clean sheet46.1%29%
82
+17.1pp
Home or drawHigh Signal95Home or draw84.1%69%
82
+15.1pp
Away under 2.0 goals2High Signal94.7Away under 2.0 goals94.9%80%
82
+14.9pp
DrawDraw25.9%28%
82
-2.1pp
Away winAway win15.9%31%
82
-15.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 44%model 58%+14pp
Xmarket 30%model 26%-4pp
2market 33%model 16%-17pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.