GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇿 Czech Liga · — · 18:00
versus

Slavia Praha
Bohemians 1905

Fortuna Arena · Referee d-cerny
2 – 2
Full time
76%
Victoire Slavia Praha
SL76
Draw17
BO7
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,21Raw implied probability82,6%Sum of the 1X2 book108,4%Operator margin removed−8,4 ptsDe-margined consensus76%Our model76.2%Measured gap+0.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 70
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—39.8%52%−12.2
Under 3.0 goals—60.2%48%+12.2
Over 4.0 goals—18.1%30%−11.9
Under 4.0 goals—81.9%70%+11.9
Away over 1.0 goals—14.7%25%−10.3
Away under 1.0 goals—85.3%75%+10.3
Over 3.5 goals—30.9%41%−10.1
Under 3.5 goals—69.1%59%+10.1
Home over 3.0 goals—24.4%34%−9.6
Home under 3.0 goals—75.6%66%+9.6
Home over 2.0 goals—54%63%−9
Home under 2.0 goals—46%37%+9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

czech-liga · 20:00
SLASLA
BOHBOH
Fortuna Arena
2 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕76%Slavia Praha win · announced before kick-off
76%
Win SLA
17%
Draw
what happened
7%
Win BOH
76%at opening→76%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.211.21•0%
X6.006.00•0%
211.0011.00•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal86.6Under 3.0 goals60.2%48%
95
▲+12.2pp
Under 4.0 goals4Interesting85.7Under 4.0 goals81.9%70%
95
▲+11.9pp
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting80.9Away under 1.0 goals85.3%75%
95
▲+10.3pp
Under 3.5 goals3.5Interesting80.3Under 3.5 goals69.1%59%
95
▲+10.1pp
Home under 3.0 goals3Interesting78.8Home under 3.0 goals75.6%66%
95
▲+9.6pp
Home under 2.0 goals2Interesting77Home under 2.0 goals46%37%
95
▲+9pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting76.4Under 2.5 goals46.8%38%
95
▲+8.8pp
Under 2.0 goals2Interesting76.1Under 2.0 goals29.7%21%
95
▲+8.7pp
Home win—Home win76.2%76%
95
▲+0.2pp
Draw—Draw17.3%15%
95
▲+2.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 83%model 76%▼-7pp
Xmarket 17%model 17%•0pp
2market 9%model 7%▼-2pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
70
Eligible
70
With a price
70
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.