No signal🇨🇿 Czech Liga · — · 15:00
versus
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
Lokotrans Arena · Referee j-wulkan
2 – 1
Full time
54%
Victoire Mlada Boleslav
ML54
Draw26
SL20
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,85Raw implied probability54,1%Sum of the 1X2 book108,3%Operator margin removed−8,3 ptsDe-margined consensus50%Our model54.3%Measured gap+4.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal2 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 1.0 goals—60.4%50%+10.4
Away over 1.0 goals—39.7%50%−10.3
Over 4.0 goals—16%25%−9
Under 4.0 goals—84%75%+9
Away over 1.5 goals—25.1%33%−7.9
Away under 1.5 goals—74.9%67%+7.9
Over 3.0 goals—36.4%44%−7.6
Under 3.0 goals—63.6%56%+7.6
Home clean sheet—38.2%31%+7.2
Away over 2.0 goals—9%16%−7
Away under 2.0 goals—91%84%+7
Over 5.0 goals—6.1%13%−6.9
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
