GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇿 Czech Liga · · 15:00
versus

Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko

Lokotrans Arena · Referee j-wulkan
21
Full time
54%
Victoire Mlada Boleslav
ML54
Draw26
SL20
Why
Slovácko's defence sits at the 26th percentile — among the weakest
What could fool us
Mlada Boleslav's defence sits at the 21th percentile — among the weakest
4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
Slovácko takes 1.22 points per game at home against 0.61 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Mlada Boleslav at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

MLAMLA
SLOSLO
Lokotrans Arena
21
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed54%Mlada Boleslav win · announced before kick-off
54%
Win MLA
what happened
26%
Draw
20%
Win SLO
54%at opening54%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Slovácko's defence sits at the 26th percentile — among the weakest

What could mislead us

  • Mlada Boleslav's defence sits at the 21th percentile — among the weakest
  • 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • Slovácko takes 1.22 points per game at home against 0.61 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 81.2/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
60.4%
Market
50%
Divergence
+10.4

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 60.4%, the market at 50%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

2 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
j-wulkan
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Mlada Boleslav at 54%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions