GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇿 Czech Liga · · 15:00
versus

Artis
Sparta Praha

Stadion SK Lisen · Referee o-berka
04
Full time
99%
Victoire Sparta Praha
AR0
Draw1
SP99
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 17,50Raw implied probability13,3%Sum of the 1X2 book108,3%Operator margin removed−8,3 ptsDe-margined consensusOur model0%Measured gap
Markets carrying a signal8 / 57
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 3.0 goals94.9%28%+66.9
Away under 3.0 goals5.1%72%−66.9
Away over 3.5 goals87.8%21%+66.8
Away under 3.5 goals12.2%79%−66.8
Away over 4.5 goals75.6%10%+65.6
Away under 4.5 goals24.4%90%−65.6
Over 5.0 goals76.1%15%+61.1
Under 5.0 goals23.9%85%−61.1
Over 4.0 goals88.9%29%+59.9
Under 4.0 goals11.1%71%−59.9
Over 4.5 goals79.5%22%+57.5
Under 4.5 goals20.5%78%−57.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

ARTART
SPASPA
Stadion SK Lisen
04
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed99%Sparta Praha win · announced before kick-off
0%
Win ART
1%
Draw
99%
Win SPA
what happened
0%at opening0%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
17.507.500%
X4.674.670%
21.361.360%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away over 3.0 goals3High Signal95Away over 3.0 goals94.9%28%
95
+66.9pp
Away over 3.5 goals3.5High Signal95Away over 3.5 goals87.8%21%
95
+66.8pp
Away over 4.5 goals4.5High Signal95Away over 4.5 goals75.6%10%
95
+65.6pp
Over 5.0 goals5High Signal95Over 5.0 goals76.1%15%
95
+61.1pp
Over 4.0 goals4High Signal95Over 4.0 goals88.9%29%
95
+59.9pp
Over 4.5 goals4.5High Signal95Over 4.5 goals79.5%22%
95
+57.5pp
Away over 5.5 goals5.5High Signal95Away over 5.5 goals60%4%
95
+56pp
Away over 2.5 goals2.5High Signal95Away over 2.5 goals95.3%40%
95
+55.3pp
DrawDraw0.6%20%
95
-19.4pp
Away winAway win99.3%68%
95
+31.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 13%model 0%-13pp
Xmarket 21%model 1%-20pp
2market 74%model 99%+25pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
57
Eligible
57
With a price
57
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.