GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇧🇪 Jupiler Pro League · — · 16:30
versus

Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge

Jan Breydel Stadion · Referee n-laforge
Pre-match analysis
81%
Over 2.5 goals
CL80
Draw12
CE8
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,27Raw implied probability78,7%Sum of the 1X2 book107,5%Operator margin removed−7,5 ptsDe-margined consensus73%Our model79.6%Measured gap+6.6 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 78
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—77.2%65%+12.2
Under 3.0 goals—22.8%35%−12.2
Over 4.0 goals—55.1%43%+12.1
Under 4.0 goals—44.9%57%−12.1
Home under 2.0 goals—19.6%31%−11.4
Home over 2.0 goals—80.3%69%+11.3
Home over 3.0 goals—54.2%43%+11.2
Home under 3.0 goals—46%57%−11
Home over 2.5 goals—64.2%54%+10.2
Home under 2.5 goals—35.8%46%−10.2
Away over 1.0 goals—45.8%36%+9.8
Away under 1.0 goals—54.2%64%−9.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

jupiler · 18:30
CLUCLU
CERCER
Jan Breydel Stadion · Pre-match analysis
81%
Over 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.281.27▼-0.01%
X5.805.85▲+0.05%
28.458.60▲+0.15%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Over 3.0 goals3High Signal86.6Over 3.0 goals77.2%65%
95
▲+12.2pp
Over 4.0 goals4High Signal86.3Over 4.0 goals55.1%43%
95
▲+12.1pp
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting83.9Home over 2.0 goals80.3%69%
95
▲+11.3pp
Home over 3.0 goals3Interesting83.6Home over 3.0 goals54.2%43%
95
▲+11.2pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting80.6Home over 2.5 goals64.2%54%
95
▲+10.2pp
Away over 1.0 goals1Interesting79.4Away over 1.0 goals45.8%36%
95
▲+9.8pp
Over 3.5 goals3.5Interesting79.1Over 3.5 goals63.7%54%
95
▲+9.7pp
Over 4.5 goals4.5Interesting78.5Over 4.5 goals44.5%35%
95
▲+9.5pp
Home win—Home win79.6%73%
95
▲+6.6pp
Draw—Draw12.4%16%
95
▼-3.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 79%model 80%▲+1pp
Xmarket 17%model 12%▼-5pp
2market 12%model 8%▼-4pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
78
Eligible
78
With a price
78
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.