GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇧🇪 Jupiler Pro League · — · 14:00
versus

Lommel United
KVC Westerlo

Soevereinstadion · Referee b-verbeke
Pre-match analysis
62%
Both teams to score
LO52
Draw24
KV24
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,58Raw implied probability38,8%Sum of the 1X2 book107,2%Operator margin removed−7,2 ptsDe-margined consensus36%Our model51.7%Measured gap+15.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 70
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away draw no bet—31.7%50%−18.3
Home draw no bet—68.2%50%+18.2
Home over 2.0 goals—41%25%+16
Home under 2.0 goals—59%75%−16
Home win—51.7%36%+15.7
Draw or away—48.3%64%−15.7
Home over 1.0 goals—79.4%64%+15.4
Home under 1.0 goals—20.6%36%−15.4
Home over 1.5 goals—56.9%42%+14.9
Home under 1.5 goals—43.1%58%−14.9
Away win—24%36%−12
Home or draw—76%64%+12

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

jupiler · 16:00
LOMLOM
KVCKVC
Soevereinstadion · Pre-match analysis
62%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.582.58•0%
X3.403.40•0%
22.562.56•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet68.2%50%
68
▲+18.2pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals41%25%
68
▲+16pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win51.7%36%
68
▲+15.7pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home over 1.0 goals79.4%64%
68
▲+15.4pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal94.7Home over 1.5 goals56.9%42%
68
▲+14.9pp
Home or drawHigh Signal86Home or draw76%64%
68
▲+12pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting82.7Home over 2.5 goals29.9%19%
68
▲+10.9pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting80.6Home over 0.5 goals85.2%75%
68
▲+10.2pp
Draw—Draw24.2%27%
68
▼-2.8pp
Away win—Away win24%36%
68
▼-12pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 39%model 52%▲+13pp
Xmarket 29%model 24%▼-5pp
2market 39%model 24%▼-15pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
70
Eligible
70
With a price
70
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.