GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · — · 16:30
versus

Tottenham
Newcastle

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Pre-match analysis
66%
Both teams to score
TO35
Draw25
NE40
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,21Raw implied probability45,2%Sum of the 1X2 book105,6%Operator margin removed−5,6 ptsDe-margined consensus43%Our model34.6%Measured gap−8.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—73.6%59%+14.6
Away under 1.0 goals—26.4%41%−14.6
Away over 1.5 goals—50.8%38%+12.8
Away under 1.5 goals—49.2%62%−12.8
Away under 2.0 goals—66.8%79%−12.2
Away over 2.0 goals—33%21%+12
Home draw no bet—46.1%58%−11.9
Away draw no bet—53.9%42%+11.9
Away over 0.5 goals—81.8%71%+10.8
Away under 0.5 goals—18.2%29%−10.8
Over 3.0 goals—53%43%+10
Under 3.0 goals—47.2%57%−9.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Premier League · 18:30
TOTTOT
NEWNEW
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Pre-match analysis
66%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.102.21▲+0.11%
X3.803.63▼-0.17%
23.303.05▼-0.25%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away over 1.0 goals1High Signal93.8Away over 1.0 goals73.6%59%
55
▲+14.6pp
Away over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal88.4Away over 1.5 goals50.8%38%
55
▲+12.8pp
Away over 2.0 goals2High Signal86Away over 2.0 goals33%21%
55
▲+12pp
Away draw no betInteresting85.7Away draw no bet53.9%42%
55
▲+11.9pp
Away over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting82.4Away over 0.5 goals81.8%71%
55
▲+10.8pp
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting80Over 3.0 goals53%43%
55
▲+10pp
Away winInteresting78.5Away win40.5%31%
55
▲+9.5pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting78.2Over 2.0 goals80.4%71%
55
▲+9.4pp
Home win—Home win34.6%43%
55
▼-8.4pp
Draw—Draw24.9%26%
55
▼-1.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 45%model 35%▼-10pp
Xmarket 28%model 25%▼-3pp
2market 33%model 40%▲+7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
58
Eligible
58
With a price
58
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.