GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · · 13:00
versus

Sunderland
Fulham

Stadium of Light
Pre-match analysis
61%
Under 2.5 goals
SU38
Draw31
FU31
Why
Fulham's defence sits at the 30th percentile — among the weakest
Sunderland takes 1.6 points per game at home, the opponent 0.92 away
What could fool us
Fulham takes 1.71 points per game at home against 0.92 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Sunderland at 38%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SUNSUN
FULFUL
Stadium of Light · Pre-match analysis
61%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
SUN
31%
Draw
31%
FUL
▼ −1 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Fulham's defence sits at the 30th percentile — among the weakest
  • Sunderland takes 1.6 points per game at home, the opponent 0.92 away

What could mislead us

  • Fulham takes 1.71 points per game at home against 0.92 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 94.4/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
54.8%
Market
40%
Divergence
+14.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 54.8%, the market at 40%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 22
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Sunderland at 38%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions