GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · — · 11:30
versus

Liverpool
Nottingham Forest

Anfield
Pre-match analysis
60%
Over 2.5 goals
LI56
Draw23
NO21
Head to head
4
LIV
1
Draw
3
NOT
févr. 2026NOT — LIV0 – 1
nov. 2025LIV — NOT0 – 3
janv. 2025NOT — LIV1 – 1
sept. 2024LIV — NOT0 – 1
mars 2024NOT — LIV0 – 1
oct. 2023LIV — NOT3 – 0
avr. 2023LIV — NOT3 – 2
oct. 2022NOT — LIV1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h56%—
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
Premier League · 13:30
LIVLIV
NOTNOT
Anfield · Pre-match analysis
60%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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LI winDrawNO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1557383_210805hv1.9.354%63%

What would have to change

i29.2 pt span
Leading box presence absent56 → 30.8-25.2
Red card56 → 34.9-21.1
High tempo56 → 60+4
Low tempo56 → 52.8-3.2
Opponent scores first56 → 53.2-2.8
Key substitution56 → 55-1
Early goal56 → 560

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
4
LI wins
1
Draws
3
NO wins
22 Feb 2026NOT — LIV0 – 1
22 Nov 2025LIV — NOT0 – 3
14 Jan 2025NOT — LIV1 – 1
14 Sept 2024LIV — NOT0 – 1
2 Mar 2024NOT — LIV0 – 1
29 Oct 2023LIV — NOT3 – 0
22 Apr 2023LIV — NOT3 – 2
22 Oct 2022NOT — LIV1 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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