GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · · 13:00
versus

Manchester City
Bournemouth

Etihad Stadium · Referee j-gillett
Pre-match analysis
65%
Victoire Manchester City
MC65
Draw21
BO14
Why
Manchester City's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
Manchester City takes 2.44 points per game at home, the opponent 1.33 away
Bournemouth has 14 declared absences
Manchester City takes 2.44 points per game at home against 1.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Manchester City scores 2.4 goals per game at home
Manchester City has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
Manchester City has 8 declared absences
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Manchester City at 65%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

MCIMCI
BOUBOU
Etihad Stadium · Pre-match analysis
65%
Victoire MC
65%
MCI
21%
Draw
14%
BOU
▼ −9 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Manchester City's attack sits at the 98th percentile of the league
  • Manchester City takes 2.44 points per game at home, the opponent 1.33 away
  • Bournemouth has 14 declared absences
  • Manchester City takes 2.44 points per game at home against 1.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Manchester City scores 2.4 goals per game at home
  • Manchester City has won 6 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Manchester City has 8 declared absences
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 85.7/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
62.9%
Market
51%
Divergence
+11.9

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 62.9%, the market at 51%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

3 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
j-gillett
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 22
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Manchester City at 65%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions