GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · — · 13:00
versus

Manchester City
Bournemouth

Etihad Stadium · Referee j-gillett
Pre-match analysis
65%
Victoire Manchester City
MC65
Draw21
BO14
Head to head
6
MCI
1
Draw
1
BOU
mai 2026BOU — MCI1 – 1
nov. 2025MCI — BOU3 – 1
mai 2025MCI — BOU3 – 1
mars 2025BOU — MCI1 – 2
nov. 2024BOU — MCI2 – 1
févr. 2024BOU — MCI0 – 1
nov. 2023MCI — BOU6 – 1
févr. 2023BOU — MCI1 – 4

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h65%—
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
Premier League · 15:00
MCIMCI
BOUBOU
Etihad Stadium · Pre-match analysis
65%
Victoire MC

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
MC winDrawBO win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1557374_210805hv1.9.354%79%

What would have to change

i22.4 pt span
Red card65 → 43.9-21.1
Opponent scores first65 → 62.2-2.8
High tempo65 → 63.4-1.6
Low tempo65 → 66.3+1.3
Key substitution65 → 64-1
Early goal65 → 650

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
6
MC wins
1
Draws
1
BO wins
19 May 2026BOU — MCI1 – 1
2 Nov 2025MCI — BOU3 – 1
20 May 2025MCI — BOU3 – 1
30 Mar 2025BOU — MCI1 – 2
2 Nov 2024BOU — MCI2 – 1
24 Feb 2024BOU — MCI0 – 1
4 Nov 2023MCI — BOU6 – 1
25 Feb 2023BOU — MCI1 – 4

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i