GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · — · 14:00
versus

Nottingham Forest
Leeds

City Ground · Referee r-jones
0 – 1
Full time
55%
Both teams to score
NO45
Draw27
LE28
Head to head
4
NOT
1
Draw
3
LEE
févr. 2026LEE — NOT3 – 1
nov. 2025NOT — LEE3 – 1
juil. 2023NOT — LEE0 – 2
avr. 2023LEE — NOT2 – 1
févr. 2023NOT — LEE1 – 0
févr. 2020NOT — LEE2 – 0
août 2019LEE — NOT1 – 1
janv. 2019NOT — LEE4 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h45%—
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
Premier League · 16:00
NOTNOT
LEELEE
City Ground
0 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕55%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
45%
Win NOT
27%
Draw
28%
Win LEE
what happened
47%at opening→45%at kick-off−2 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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NO winDrawLE win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1557371_210805hv1.9.354%46%

What would have to change

i23.8 pt span
Red card45 → 23.9-21.1
Opponent scores first45 → 42.2-2.8
High tempo45 → 47.7+2.7
Low tempo45 → 42.8-2.2
Key substitution45 → 44-1
Early goal45 → 450

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
4
NO wins
1
Draws
3
LE wins
6 Feb 2026LEE — NOT3 – 1
9 Nov 2025NOT — LEE3 – 1
27 Jul 2023NOT — LEE0 – 2
4 Apr 2023LEE — NOT2 – 1
5 Feb 2023NOT — LEE1 – 0
8 Feb 2020NOT — LEE2 – 0
10 Aug 2019LEE — NOT1 – 1
1 Jan 2019NOT — LEE4 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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