GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · — · 14:00
versus

Ipswich
Sunderland

Portman Road Stadium · Referee f-hallam
2 – 1
Full time
54%
Under 2.5 goals
IP20
Draw27
SU53
Head to head
2
IPS
2
Draw
4
SUN
janv. 2024IPS — SUN2 – 1
août 2023SUN — IPS1 – 2
déc. 2021IPS — SUN1 – 1
nov. 2021SUN — IPS2 – 0
janv. 2021IPS — SUN0 – 1
nov. 2020SUN — IPS2 – 1
févr. 2020SUN — IPS1 – 0
août 2019IPS — SUN1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h20%—
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
Premier League · 16:00
IPSIPS
SUNSUN
Portman Road Stadium
2 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕54%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
20%
Win IPS
what happened
27%
Draw
53%
Win SUN
22%at opening→20%at kick-off+2 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
IP winDrawSU win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1557370_210805hv1.9.354%61%

What would have to change

i24.1 pt span
Red card53 → 31.9-21.1
High tempo53 → 49.2-3.8
Low tempo53 → 56+3
Opponent scores first53 → 50.2-2.8
Key substitution53 → 52-1
Early goal53 → 530

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
2
IP wins
2
Draws
4
SU wins
13 Jan 2024IPS — SUN2 – 1
6 Aug 2023SUN — IPS1 – 2
18 Dec 2021IPS — SUN1 – 1
20 Nov 2021SUN — IPS2 – 0
26 Jan 2021IPS — SUN0 – 1
3 Nov 2020SUN — IPS2 – 1
8 Feb 2020SUN — IPS1 – 0
10 Aug 2019IPS — SUN1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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