GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · · 14:00
versus

Everton
Crystal Palace

Hill Dickinson Stadium · Referee p-tierney
20
Full time
62%
Under 2.5 goals
EV40
Draw31
CR29
Head to head
5
EVE
3
Draw
0
CRY
mai 2026CRYEVE22
oct. 2025EVECRY21
févr. 2025CRYEVE12
sept. 2024EVECRY21
févr. 2024EVECRY11
janv. 2024EVECRY10
janv. 2024CRYEVE00
nov. 2023CRYEVE23

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h40%
Our past analyses in this competition
total-goals · announced at 64%0,13Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 63%0,14Confirmed
total-goals · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
total-goals · announced at 79%0,62Refuted
total-goals · announced at 71%0,50Refuted
total-goals · announced at 72%0,08Confirmed

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Liverpool FC8553+30
2Arsenal FC8347+26
EVEEVE
CRYCRY
Hill Dickinson Stadium
20
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed62%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
40%
Win EVE
what happened
31%
Draw
29%
Win CRY
37%at opening40%at kick-off+3 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()

Evolution over time

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EV winDrawCR win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1557369_210805hv1.9.354%39%

What would have to change

i21.6 pt span
Red card4018.9-21.1
Opponent scores first4037.2-2.8
Key substitution4039-1
High tempo4039.4-0.6
Low tempo4040.5+0.5
Early goal40400

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

i
5
EV wins
3
Draws
0
CR wins
10 May 2026CRYEVE22
5 Oct 2025EVECRY21
15 Feb 2025CRYEVE12
28 Sept 2024EVECRY21
19 Feb 2024EVECRY11
17 Jan 2024EVECRY10
4 Jan 2024CRYEVE00
11 Nov 2023CRYEVE23

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

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