GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 18:45
versus

Kilmarnock
ST Mirren

Rugby Park
Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
KI53
Draw26
ST21
Why
Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home, the opponent 0.88 away
Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6
What could fool us
Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
ST Mirren has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Kilmarnock at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

KILKIL
ST ST
Rugby Park · Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
KIL
26%
Draw
21%
ST
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home, the opponent 0.88 away
  • Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
  • ST Mirren has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Kilmarnock at 53%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions