GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · — · 18:45
versus

Kilmarnock
ST Mirren

Rugby Park
Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
KI53
Draw26
ST21
Head to head
4
KIL
3
Draw
1
ST
mai 2026ST — KIL0 – 3
févr. 2026KIL — ST 4 – 3
déc. 2025ST — KIL0 – 0
oct. 2025KIL — ST 2 – 0
sept. 2025KIL — ST 2 – 2
mars 2025ST — KIL5 – 1
janv. 2025KIL — ST 2 – 0
sept. 2024ST — KIL2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h53%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

scot-prem · 20:45
KILKIL
ST ST
Rugby Park · Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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KI winDrawST win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260902_af-1556656_210823hv1.9.354%60%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card53 → 31.9-21.1
Opponent scores first53 → 50.2-2.8
High tempo53 → 54.5+1.5
Low tempo53 → 51.8-1.2
Key substitution53 → 52-1
Early goal53 → 530

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
KI wins
3
Draws
1
ST wins
9 May 2026ST — KIL0 – 3
11 Feb 2026KIL — ST 4 – 3
27 Dec 2025ST — KIL0 – 0
4 Oct 2025KIL — ST 2 – 0
19 Sept 2025KIL — ST 2 – 2
29 Mar 2025ST — KIL5 – 1
2 Jan 2025KIL — ST 2 – 0
14 Sept 2024ST — KIL2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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