GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 14:00
versus

ST Mirren
Motherwell

The SMISA Stadium
Pre-match analysis
65%
Under 2.5 goals
ST22
Draw30
MO48
Why
ST Mirren has won 4 of its last 6
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Motherwell at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

ST ST
MOTMOT
The SMISA Stadium · Pre-match analysis
65%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
ST
30%
Draw
48%
MOT
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • ST Mirren has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home under 1.0 goals
Model
71.2%
Market
40%
Divergence
+31.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 71.2%, the market at 40%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Motherwell at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions