GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · — · 14:00
versus

Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd

Rugby Park
Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score
KI48
Draw25
DU27
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,65Raw implied probability37,7%Sum of the 1X2 book107,2%Operator margin removed−7,2 ptsDe-margined consensus35%Our model48.1%Measured gap+13.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—63.8%49%+14.8
Away draw no bet—36.2%51%−14.8
Home over 1.0 goals—74.5%61%+13.5
Home under 1.0 goals—25.5%39%−13.5
Home win—48.1%35%+13.1
Draw or away—51.9%65%−13.1
Home over 1.5 goals—51.7%40%+11.7
Home under 1.5 goals—48.3%60%−11.7
Home over 2.0 goals—34.3%23%+11.3
Home under 2.0 goals—65.7%77%−11.3
Away win—27.3%37%−9.7
Home or draw—72.7%63%+9.7

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

scot-prem · 16:00
KILKIL
DUNDUN
Rugby Park · Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.652.65•0%
X3.393.39•0%
22.502.50•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betHigh Signal94.4Home draw no bet63.8%49%
63
▲+14.8pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal90.5Home over 1.0 goals74.5%61%
63
▲+13.5pp
Home winHigh Signal89.3Home win48.1%35%
63
▲+13.1pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting85.1Home over 1.5 goals51.7%40%
63
▲+11.7pp
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting83.9Home over 2.0 goals34.3%23%
63
▲+11.3pp
Home or drawInteresting79.1Home or draw72.7%63%
63
▲+9.7pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting74.9Home over 0.5 goals82.3%74%
63
▲+8.3pp
Draw—Draw24.6%28%
63
▼-3.4pp
Away win—Away win27.3%37%
63
▼-9.7pp
Home or away—Home or away75.4%72%
63
▲+3.4pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 48%▲+10pp
Xmarket 29%model 25%▼-4pp
2market 40%model 27%▼-13pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.