GRABBLESTATS
No signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 14:00
versus

Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd

Rugby Park
Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score
KI48
Draw25
DU27
Why
Dundee Utd's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6
Dundee Utd concedes 2 goals per game away
What could fool us
Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Kilmarnock at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

KILKIL
DUNDUN
Rugby Park · Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score
48%
KIL
25%
Draw
27%
DUN
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Dundee Utd's defence sits at the 25th percentile — among the weakest
  • Kilmarnock takes 1.4 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Kilmarnock has won 4 of its last 6
  • Dundee Utd concedes 2 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • Kilmarnock's defence sits at the 11th percentile — among the weakest
  • 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home draw no betStrength 94.4/100
Home draw no bet
Model
63.8%
Market
49%
Divergence
+14.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 63.8%, the market at 49%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

7 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Kilmarnock at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions