GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · — · 14:00
versus

Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone

Tynecastle Park
Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire Heart Of Midlothian
HE75
Draw18
ST7
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,65Raw implied probability60,6%Sum of the 1X2 book106,2%Operator margin removed−6,2 ptsDe-margined consensus57%Our model75.1%Measured gap+18.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—14.5%41%−26.5
Away under 1.0 goals—85.5%59%+26.5
Away over 0.5 goals—41.2%60%−18.8
Away under 0.5 goals—58.8%40%+18.8
Home clean sheet—58.8%40%+18.8
Home win—75.1%57%+18.1
Draw or away—24.9%43%−18.1
Home draw no bet—91.1%75%+16.1
Away draw no bet—8.9%25%−16.1
Away over 1.5 goals—10%26%−16
Away under 1.5 goals—90%74%+16
Both teams to score—36.9%52%−15.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

scot-prem · 16:00
HEAHEA
ST ST
Tynecastle Park · Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire HE

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.651.65•0%
X3.953.95•0%
24.924.92•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals85.5%59%
95
▲+26.5pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals58.8%40%
95
▲+18.8pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal95Home clean sheet58.8%40%
95
▲+18.8pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win75.1%57%
95
▲+18.1pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet91.1%75%
95
▲+16.1pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Away under 1.5 goals90%74%
95
▲+16pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal95Both teams to score: no63.1%48%
95
▲+15.1pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal88.7Home over 2.0 goals50.9%38%
95
▲+12.9pp
Draw—Draw17.6%24%
95
▼-6.4pp
Away win—Away win7.3%19%
95
▼-11.7pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 61%model 75%▲+14pp
Xmarket 25%model 18%▼-7pp
2market 20%model 7%▼-13pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.