GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · — · 14:00
versus

Rangers
ST Mirren

Ibrox Stadium
Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire Rangers
RA78
Draw15
ST7
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,30Raw implied probability76,9%Sum of the 1X2 book107,3%Operator margin removed−7,3 ptsDe-margined consensus72%Our model78.3%Measured gap+6.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 46
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—64.2%56%+8.2
Home under 2.0 goals—35.8%44%−8.2
Home win—78.3%72%+6.3
Draw or away—21.7%28%−6.3
Home over 1.5 goals—73.2%67%+6.2
Home under 1.5 goals—26.8%33%−6.2
Home over 2.5 goals—48.1%42%+6.1
Home under 2.5 goals—51.9%58%−6.1
Home over 3.0 goals—33.6%28%+5.6
Home under 3.0 goals—66.4%72%−5.6
Over 2.0 goals—80%75%+5
Under 2.0 goals—20%25%−5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

scot-prem · 16:00
RANRAN
ST ST
Ibrox Stadium · Pre-match analysis
78%
Victoire RA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.331.30▼-0.03%
X5.005.10▲+0.1%
28.489.30▲+0.82%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting74.6Home over 2.0 goals64.2%56%
95
▲+8.2pp
Home win—Home win78.3%72%
95
▲+6.3pp
Draw—Draw14.6%18%
95
▼-3.4pp
Away win—Away win7.1%10%
95
▼-2.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw92.9%90%
95
▲+2.9pp
Home or away—Home or away85.4%82%
95
▲+3.4pp
Draw or away—Draw or away21.7%28%
95
▼-6.3pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score45.7%48%
95
▼-2.3pp
Both teams to score: no—Both teams to score: no54.3%52%
95
▲+2.3pp
Over 1.5 goals1.5—Over 1.5 goals84.1%80%
95
▲+4.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 77%model 78%▲+1pp
Xmarket 20%model 15%▼-5pp
2market 11%model 7%▼-4pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
46
Eligible
46
With a price
46
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.