GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · — · 14:00
versus

Motherwell
Aberdeen

Fir Park
Pre-match analysis
63%
Victoire Motherwell
MO63
Draw23
AB14
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,20Raw implied probability45,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,7%Operator margin removed−7,7 ptsDe-margined consensus42%Our model63%Measured gap+21 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 2
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
1X2Home win63%42%+21
Total goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%49%+4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

scot-prem · 16:00
MOTMOT
ABEABE
Fir Park · Pre-match analysis
63%
Victoire MO

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.202.20•0%
X3.403.40•0%
23.053.05•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
1X2High Signal95Home win63%42%
89
▲+21pp
Total goals2.5—Under 2.5 goals53%49%
89
▲+4pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 45%model 63%▲+18pp
Xmarket 29%model 23%▼-6pp
2market 33%model 14%▼-19pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
2
Eligible
2
With a price
2
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.