GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Premiership · · 14:00
versus

Motherwell
Aberdeen

Fir Park
Pre-match analysis
63%
Victoire Motherwell
MO63
Draw23
AB14
Why
Motherwell takes 1.88 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away
What could fool us
Aberdeen takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Motherwell at 63%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

MOTMOT
ABEABE
Fir Park · Pre-match analysis
63%
Victoire MO
63%
MOT
23%
Draw
14%
ABE
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Motherwell takes 1.88 points per game at home, the opponent 0.72 away

What could mislead us

  • Aberdeen takes 1.48 points per game at home against 0.72 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
1X2Strength 95/100
Home win
Model
63%
Market
42%
Divergence
+21

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 63%, the market at 42%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Motherwell at 63%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions