No signal🇷🇸 Super Liga · — · 17:00
versus
Radnicki 1923
IMT Novi Beograd
— · Referee n-minakovic
2 – 1
Full time
66%
Under 2.5 goals
RA40
Draw36
IM24
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,38Raw implied probability42,0%Sum of the 1X2 book109,8%Operator margin removed−9,8 ptsDe-margined consensus38%Our model40.2%Measured gap+2.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—34.2%58%−23.8
Away under 1.0 goals—65.8%42%+23.8
Over 3.0 goals—18.7%37%−18.3
Under 3.0 goals—81.3%63%+18.3
Over 2.0 goals—48%66%−18
Under 2.0 goals—52%35%+17
Over 2.5 goals—33.7%50%−16.3
Under 2.5 goals—66.3%50%+16.3
Away over 1.5 goals—21.7%38%−16.3
Away under 1.5 goals—78.3%62%+16.3
Over 3.5 goals—15.2%30%−14.8
Under 3.5 goals—84.8%70%+14.8
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
