GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇷🇸 Super Liga · — · 19:00
versus

Mladost Lucani
FK Partizan

— · Referee n-simovic
Pre-match analysis
56%
Victoire FK Partizan
ML16
Draw28
FK56
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,71Raw implied probability27,0%Sum of the 1X2 book109,6%Operator margin removed−9,6 ptsDe-margined consensus25%Our model16.3%Measured gap−8.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal6 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home under 1.0 goals—65.7%49%+16.7
Home over 1.0 goals—34.5%51%−16.5
Home over 1.5 goals—21.9%33%−11.1
Home under 1.5 goals—78.1%67%+11.1
Home draw no bet—22.6%33%−10.4
Away draw no bet—77.4%67%+10.4
Over 3.0 goals—34.4%44%−9.6
Under 3.0 goals—65.5%56%+9.5
Home over 2.0 goals—7%16%−9
Home under 2.0 goals—93%84%+9
Home win—16.3%25%−8.7
Home over 2.5 goals—5.9%14%−8.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

serbia-sl · 21:00
MLAMLA
FK FK
— · Pre-match analysis
56%
Victoire FK

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.953.71▼-0.24%
X3.503.50•0%
21.781.85▲+0.07%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home under 1.0 goals65.7%49%
80
▲+16.7pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting83.3Home under 1.5 goals78.1%67%
80
▲+11.1pp
Away draw no betInteresting81.2Away draw no bet77.4%67%
80
▲+10.4pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting78.5Under 3.0 goals65.5%56%
80
▲+9.5pp
Home under 2.0 goals2Interesting77Home under 2.0 goals93%84%
80
▲+9pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting74.3Home under 2.5 goals94.1%86%
80
▲+8.1pp
Home win—Home win16.3%25%
80
▼-8.7pp
Draw—Draw28%26%
80
▲+2pp
Away win—Away win55.7%49%
80
▲+6.7pp
Home or draw—Home or draw44.3%50%
80
▼-5.7pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 27%model 16%▼-11pp
Xmarket 29%model 28%▼-1pp
2market 54%model 56%▲+2pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.