GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇷🇸 Super Liga · · 18:00
versus

Železničar Pančevo
FK Crvena Zvezda

Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Pre-match analysis
56%
Both teams to score
ŽE20
Draw28
FK52
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 110,00Raw implied probability10,0%Sum of the 1X2 book108,2%Operator margin removed−8,2 ptsDe-margined consensus9%Our model20.3%Measured gap+11.3 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 70
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 2.0 goals34.7%68%−33.3
Away under 2.0 goals65.3%32%+33.3
Away over 3.0 goals11.8%42%−30.2
Away under 3.0 goals88.2%58%+30.2
Away over 4.0 goals3.5%30%−26.5
Away under 4.0 goals96.5%70%+26.5
Home or draw48.6%23%+25.6
Away over 2.5 goals25.5%50%−24.5
Away under 2.5 goals74.5%50%+24.5
Home over 1.0 goals44.5%22%+22.5
Home under 1.0 goals55.7%78%−22.3
Away over 3.5 goals10%32%−22

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

ŽELŽEL
FK FK
Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost · Pre-match analysis
56%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
110.0010.000%
X5.135.130%
21.271.270%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Away under 2.0 goals65.3%32%
72
+33.3pp
Away under 3.0 goals3High Signal95Away under 3.0 goals88.2%58%
72
+30.2pp
Away under 4.0 goals4High Signal95Away under 4.0 goals96.5%70%
72
+26.5pp
Home or drawHigh Signal95Home or draw48.6%23%
72
+25.6pp
Away under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal95Away under 2.5 goals74.5%50%
72
+24.5pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home over 1.0 goals44.5%22%
72
+22.5pp
Away under 3.5 goals3.5High Signal95Away under 3.5 goals90%68%
72
+22pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Home over 0.5 goals64.8%44%
72
+20.8pp
Home winHome win20.3%9%
72
+11.3pp
DrawDraw28.3%18%
72
+10.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 10%model 20%+10pp
Xmarket 19%model 28%+9pp
2market 79%model 52%-27pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
70
Eligible
70
With a price
70
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.