GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 19:05
versus

Paris Saint Germain
Monaco

Parc des Princes
Pre-match analysis
72%
Over 2.5 goals
PS69
Draw18
MO13
Head to head
4
PSG
2
Draw
2
MON
mars 2026PSG — MON1 – 3
févr. 2026PSG — MON2 – 2
févr. 2026MON — PSG2 – 3
nov. 2025MON — PSG1 – 0
févr. 2025PSG — MON4 – 1
janv. 2025PSG — MON1 – 0
déc. 2024MON — PSG2 – 4
mars 2024MON — PSG0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h69%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 21:05
PSGPSG
MONMON
Parc des Princes · Pre-match analysis
72%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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PS winDrawMO win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260904_af-1552753_210823hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i22.8 pt span
Red card69 → 47.9-21.1
Leading box presence absent69 → 53.5-15.5
Key substitution69 → 65.8-3.2
Opponent scores first69 → 66.2-2.8
High tempo69 → 70.7+1.7
Low tempo69 → 67.6-1.4
Early goal69 → 690

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
PS wins
2
Draws
2
MO wins
6 Mar 2026PSG — MON1 – 3
25 Feb 2026PSG — MON2 – 2
17 Feb 2026MON — PSG2 – 3
29 Nov 2025MON — PSG1 – 0
7 Feb 2025PSG — MON4 – 1
5 Jan 2025PSG — MON1 – 0
18 Dec 2024MON — PSG2 – 4
1 Mar 2024MON — PSG0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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