GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Monaco
Marseille

Stade Louis II
Pre-match analysis
73%
Over 2.5 goals
MO46
Draw23
MA31
Head to head
3
MON
2
Draw
3
MAR
avr. 2026MON — MAR2 – 1
déc. 2025MAR — MON1 – 0
avr. 2025MON — MAR3 – 0
déc. 2024MAR — MON2 – 1
janv. 2024MAR — MON2 – 2
sept. 2023MON — MAR3 – 2
janv. 2023MAR — MON1 – 1
nov. 2022MON — MAR2 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h46%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
MONMON
MARMAR
Stade Louis II · Pre-match analysis
73%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
MO winDrawMA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260830_af-1552742_210805hv1.9.354%51%

What would have to change

i25.2 pt span
Red card46 → 24.9-21.1
High tempo46 → 50.1+4.1
Low tempo46 → 42.7-3.3
Opponent scores first46 → 43.2-2.8
Key substitution46 → 45-1
Early goal46 → 460

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
MO wins
2
Draws
3
MA wins
5 Apr 2026MON — MAR2 – 1
14 Dec 2025MAR — MON1 – 0
12 Apr 2025MON — MAR3 – 0
1 Dec 2024MAR — MON2 – 1
27 Jan 2024MAR — MON2 – 2
30 Sept 2023MON — MAR3 – 2
28 Jan 2023MAR — MON1 – 1
13 Nov 2022MON — MAR2 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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