GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · · 18:45
versus

Lyon
Le Havre

Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
LY52
Draw28
HA20
Why
Le Havre's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
Lyon takes 2.26 points per game at home, the opponent 1.04 away
Lyon takes 2.26 points per game at home against 1.32 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Lyon has won 4 of its last 6
Lyon scores 2 goals per game at home
What could fool us
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Lyon at 52%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

LYOLYO
HAVHAV
Parc Olympique Lyonnais · Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
LYO
28%
Draw
20%
HAV
▼ −8 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Le Havre's defence sits at the 19th percentile — among the weakest
  • Lyon takes 2.26 points per game at home, the opponent 1.04 away
  • Lyon takes 2.26 points per game at home against 1.32 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Lyon has won 4 of its last 6
  • Lyon scores 2 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts
4LOSCLille21+10
WDWWL
0
5OLLyon21+5
DWLWD
0

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Lyon at 52%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions