GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · · 18:45
versus

Lyon
Le Havre

Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals
LY52
Draw28
HA20
Head to head
3
LYO
2
Draw
1
HAV
mars 2026HAVLYO00
déc. 2025LYOHAV10
mars 2025LYOHAV42
oct. 2024HAVLYO04
janv. 2024HAVLYO31
sept. 2023LYOHAV00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h52%
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
LYOLYO
HAVHAV
Parc Olympique Lyonnais · Pre-match analysis
53%
Under 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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Evolution over time

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LY winDrawHA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1552741_210805hv1.9.354%60%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card5230.9-21.1
Opponent scores first5249.2-2.8
High tempo5253.5+1.5
Low tempo5250.8-1.2
Key substitution5251-1
Early goal52520

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
LY wins
2
Draws
1
HA wins
15 Mar 2026HAVLYO00
14 Dec 2025LYOHAV10
16 Mar 2025LYOHAV42
20 Oct 2024HAVLYO04
14 Jan 2024HAVLYO31
17 Sept 2023LYOHAV00

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

Notes

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