GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · · 18:45
versus

Lorient
Estac Troyes

Stade du Moustoir
Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire Lorient
LO75
Draw17
TR8
Why
Lorient takes 2.05 points per game at home, the opponent 1.43 away
Lorient takes 2.05 points per game at home against 1 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Lorient scores 2.4 goals per game at home
What could fool us
Estac Troyes's attack sits at the 93th percentile of the league
Estac Troyes takes 2.35 points per game at home against 1.43 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Lorient at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

LORLOR
TROTRO
Stade du Moustoir · Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire LO
75%
LOR
17%
Draw
8%
TRO
▲ +15 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Lorient takes 2.05 points per game at home, the opponent 1.43 away
  • Lorient takes 2.05 points per game at home against 1 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Lorient scores 2.4 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • Estac Troyes's attack sits at the 93th percentile of the league
  • Estac Troyes takes 2.35 points per game at home against 1.43 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 21
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Lorient at 75%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions