GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Lorient
Estac Troyes

Stade du Moustoir
Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire Lorient
LO75
Draw17
TR8
Head to head
3
LOR
2
Draw
3
TRO
févr. 2025TRO — LOR0 – 1
déc. 2024LOR — TRO2 – 0
mars 2023LOR — TRO2 – 0
oct. 2022TRO — LOR2 – 2
mai 2022LOR — TRO1 – 1
déc. 2021TRO — LOR2 – 0
oct. 2019LOR — TRO0 – 1
avr. 2019LOR — TRO0 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h75%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
LORLOR
TROTRO
Stade du Moustoir · Pre-match analysis
75%
Victoire LO

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
LO winDrawTR win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260829_af-1552740_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i21.2 pt span
Red card75 → 53.9-21.1
Opponent scores first75 → 72.2-2.8
Key substitution75 → 74-1
High tempo75 → 74.9-0.1
Low tempo75 → 75.1+0.1
Early goal75 → 750

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
LO wins
2
Draws
3
TR wins
14 Feb 2025TRO — LOR0 – 1
6 Dec 2024LOR — TRO2 – 0
12 Mar 2023LOR — TRO2 – 0
23 Oct 2022TRO — LOR2 – 2
21 May 2022LOR — TRO1 – 1
1 Dec 2021TRO — LOR2 – 0
26 Oct 2019LOR — TRO0 – 1
19 Apr 2019LOR — TRO0 – 3

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i