GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Estac Troyes
Paris FC

— · Referee m-bollengier
0 – 0
Full time
68%
Victoire Paris FC
TR11
Draw21
PA68
Head to head
1
TRO
2
Draw
5
PAR
févr. 2025PAR — TRO1 – 0
oct. 2024TRO — PAR0 – 3
juil. 2024TRO — PAR1 – 2
avr. 2024TRO — PAR1 – 2
oct. 2023PAR — TRO2 – 2
déc. 2022PAR — TRO1 – 0
avr. 2021PAR — TRO1 – 1
déc. 2020TRO — PAR2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h11%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
TROTRO
PARPAR
—
0 – 0
Full time

Final result

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Refuted✕68%Paris FC win · announced before kick-off
11%
Win TRO
21%
Draw
what happened
68%
Win PAR
25%at opening→11%at kick-off+16 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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TR winDrawPA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552737_210805hv1.9.354%83%

What would have to change

i22.2 pt span
Red card68 → 46.9-21.1
Opponent scores first68 → 65.2-2.8
High tempo68 → 66.6-1.4
Low tempo68 → 69.1+1.1
Key substitution68 → 67-1
Early goal68 → 680

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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1
TR wins
2
Draws
5
PA wins
21 Feb 2025PAR — TRO1 – 0
21 Oct 2024TRO — PAR0 – 3
17 Jul 2024TRO — PAR1 – 2
13 Apr 2024TRO — PAR1 – 2
28 Oct 2023PAR — TRO2 – 2
21 Dec 2022PAR — TRO1 – 0
10 Apr 2021PAR — TRO1 – 1
5 Dec 2020TRO — PAR2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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