GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Toulouse
Lyon

Stadium de Toulouse · Referee g-paradis
0 – 2
Full time
62%
Both teams to score
TO35
Draw28
LY37
Head to head
2
TOU
2
Draw
4
LYO
mai 2026TOU — LYO2 – 1
oct. 2025LYO — TOU1 – 2
janv. 2025LYO — TOU0 – 0
sept. 2024TOU — LYO1 – 2
mars 2024TOU — LYO2 – 3
déc. 2023LYO — TOU3 – 0
avr. 2023TOU — LYO1 – 2
oct. 2022LYO — TOU1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h35%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
TOUTOU
LYOLYO
Stadium de Toulouse
0 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕62%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
35%
Win TOU
28%
Draw
37%
Win LYO
what happened
35%at opening→35%at kick-off−2 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
TO winDrawLY win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552736_210805hv1.9.354%37%

What would have to change

i24.9 pt span
Red card37 → 15.9-21.1
High tempo37 → 40.8+3.8
Low tempo37 → 34-3
Opponent scores first37 → 34.2-2.8
Key substitution37 → 36-1
Early goal37 → 370

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
2
TO wins
2
Draws
4
LY wins
10 May 2026TOU — LYO2 – 1
5 Oct 2025LYO — TOU1 – 2
18 Jan 2025LYO — TOU0 – 0
29 Sept 2024TOU — LYO1 – 2
15 Mar 2024TOU — LYO2 – 3
10 Dec 2023LYO — TOU3 – 0
14 Apr 2023TOU — LYO1 – 2
7 Oct 2022LYO — TOU1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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