GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Rennes
Paris Saint Germain

Roazhon Park · Referee b-dechepy
Pre-match analysis
65%
Over 2.5 goals
RE21
Draw24
PS55
Head to head
2
REN
1
Draw
5
PSG
févr. 2026REN — PSG3 – 1
déc. 2025PSG — REN5 – 0
mars 2025REN — PSG1 – 4
sept. 2024PSG — REN3 – 1
avr. 2024PSG — REN1 – 0
févr. 2024PSG — REN1 – 1
oct. 2023REN — PSG1 – 3
mars 2023PSG — REN0 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h67%—
22/08 05h21%−46 pp
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
RENREN
PSGPSG
Roazhon Park · Pre-match analysis
65%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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RE winDrawPS win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1552735_210805hv1.9.354%62%
22/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1552735_220805hv1.9.355%64%

What would have to change

i22.6 pt span
Red card55 → 33.9-21.1
Opponent scores first55 → 52.2-2.8
High tempo55 → 53.1-1.9
Low tempo55 → 56.5+1.5
Key substitution55 → 54-1
Early goal55 → 550

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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2
RE wins
1
Draws
5
PS wins
13 Feb 2026REN — PSG3 – 1
6 Dec 2025PSG — REN5 – 0
8 Mar 2025REN — PSG1 – 4
27 Sept 2024PSG — REN3 – 1
3 Apr 2024PSG — REN1 – 0
25 Feb 2024PSG — REN1 – 1
8 Oct 2023REN — PSG1 – 3
19 Mar 2023PSG — REN0 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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