GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 18:45
versus

Nice
Lorient

Allianz Riviera · Referee r-lissorgue
0 – 0
Full time
53%
Under 2.5 goals
NI25
Draw29
LO46
Head to head
3
NIC
4
Draw
1
LOR
mars 2026LOR — NIC0 – 0
févr. 2026NIC — LOR3 – 3
nov. 2025LOR — NIC3 – 1
avr. 2024NIC — LOR3 – 0
août 2023LOR — NIC1 – 1
mars 2023NIC — LOR1 – 1
oct. 2022LOR — NIC1 – 2
avr. 2022NIC — LOR2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h25%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 20:45
NICNIC
LORLOR
Allianz Riviera
0 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓53%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
25%
Win NIC
29%
Draw
what happened
46%
Win LOR
51%at opening→25%at kick-off+23 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
NI winDrawLO win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552734_210805hv1.9.354%49%

What would have to change

i25.9 pt span
Red card46 → 24.9-21.1
High tempo46 → 50.8+4.8
Low tempo46 → 42.2-3.8
Opponent scores first46 → 43.2-2.8
Key substitution46 → 45-1
Early goal46 → 460

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
NI wins
4
Draws
1
LO wins
4 Mar 2026LOR — NIC0 – 0
22 Feb 2026NIC — LOR3 – 3
30 Nov 2025LOR — NIC3 – 1
19 Apr 2024NIC — LOR3 – 0
20 Aug 2023LOR — NIC1 – 1
19 Mar 2023NIC — LOR1 – 1
30 Oct 2022LOR — NIC1 – 2
17 Apr 2022NIC — LOR2 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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