Market — MAR vs STR | GrabbleStats

Ligue 1 · 20:45

MAR

STR

CEPAC Vélodrome

4 – 0

Full time

Final result

Refuted✕71%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off

42%

Win MAR

what happened

24%

Draw

34%

Win STR

55%at opening→42%at kick-off−13 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live

Market	Opening	Current	Movement
1	1.72	1.74	▲+0.02%
X	4.05	4.10	▲+0.05%
2	4.38	4.38	•0%

Market analysis

Model outputs by market

Market Explorer

Market	Signal	Model lean	Model	Market	Confidence	Divergence
1X2	High Signal89	Home win	42%	55%	58	▼-13pp
Total goals2.5	Interesting74	Over 2.5 goals	70%	62%	58	▲+8pp
Home win	—	Home win	42.3%	—	58	No price
Draw	—	Draw	24.2%	—	58	No price
Away win	—	Away win	33.4%	—	58	No price
Home or draw	—	Home or draw	66.6%	—	58	No price
Home or away	—	Home or away	75.8%	—	58	No price
Draw or away	—	Draw or away	57.7%	—	58	No price
Home draw no bet	—	Home draw no bet	42.3%	—	58	No price
Away draw no bet	—	Away draw no bet	33.4%	—	58	No price

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

1market 57%model 42%▼-15pp

Xmarket 24%model 24%•0pp

2market 23%model 34%▲+11pp

Market coverage for this fixture

Markets classified

160

Eligible

160

With a price

Data quality

60%

No price is published for this fixture. The analysis stays available; model / market divergence cannot be computed and is never estimated.

Sort byWith a signal(2)

Market	Signal	Line	Model lean	Model	Market	Divergence	Model confidence	Data quality	Status
Home win Level 2	—	—	—	42.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Draw Level 2	—	—	—	24.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away win Level 2	—	—	—	33.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home or draw Level 2	—	—	—	66.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home or away Level 2	—	—	—	75.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Draw or away Level 2	—	—	—	57.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home draw no bet Level 2	—	—	—	42.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away draw no bet Level 2	—	—	—	33.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Both teams to score Level 2	—	—	—	70.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Both teams to score: no Level 2	—	—	—	29.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	96.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	3.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	88.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	3.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	88.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	11.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	70%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	11.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	70%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	30%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	48.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	30%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	48.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	51.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	29.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	51.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	29.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	70.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	15.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	70.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	15.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	84.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 6.0 goals Level 2	—	6	—	7.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 6.0 goals Level 2	—	6	—	84.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 6.5 goals Level 2	—	6.5	—	7.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 6.5 goals Level 2	—	6.5	—	92.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 7.0 goals Level 2	—	7	—	3.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 7.0 goals Level 2	—	7	—	92.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 7.5 goals Level 2	—	7.5	—	3.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 7.5 goals Level 2	—	7.5	—	96.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 8.0 goals Level 2	—	8	—	1.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 8.0 goals Level 2	—	8	—	96.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Over 8.5 goals Level 2	—	8.5	—	1.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Under 8.5 goals Level 2	—	8.5	—	98.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	85.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	14.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	57.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	14.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	57.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	42.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	30.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	42.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	30.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	69.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	12.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	69.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	12.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	87.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	4.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	87.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	4.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	95.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	1.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	95.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home over 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	1.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home under 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	98.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	81.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 0.5 goals Level 2	—	0.5	—	18.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	50.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 1.0 goals Level 2	—	1	—	18.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	50.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 1.5 goals Level 2	—	1.5	—	49.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	24.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 2.0 goals Level 2	—	2	—	49.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	24.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 2.5 goals Level 2	—	2.5	—	75.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	9.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 3.0 goals Level 2	—	3	—	75.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	9.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 3.5 goals Level 2	—	3.5	—	90.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	2.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 4.0 goals Level 2	—	4	—	90.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	2.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 4.5 goals Level 2	—	4.5	—	97.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	0.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 5.0 goals Level 2	—	5	—	97.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away over 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	0.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away under 5.5 goals Level 2	—	5.5	—	99.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -4.5 Level 2	—	-4.5	—	1.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +4.5 -4.5 Level 2	—	-4.5	—	98.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -4.0 Level 2	—	-4	—	1.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +4.0 -4 Level 2	—	-4	—	95.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -3.5 Level 2	—	-3.5	—	4.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +3.5 -3.5 Level 2	—	-3.5	—	95.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -3.0 Level 2	—	-3	—	4.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +3.0 -3 Level 2	—	-3	—	89.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -2.5 Level 2	—	-2.5	—	10.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +2.5 -2.5 Level 2	—	-2.5	—	89.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -2.0 Level 2	—	-2	—	10.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +2.0 -2 Level 2	—	-2	—	76%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -1.5 Level 2	—	-1.5	—	24%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +1.5 -1.5 Level 2	—	-1.5	—	76%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -1.0 Level 2	—	-1	—	24%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +1.0 -1 Level 2	—	-1	—	57.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home -0.5 Level 2	—	-0.5	—	42.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away +0.5 -0.5 Level 2	—	-0.5	—	57.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +0.5 Level 2	—	0.5	—	66.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -0.5 Level 2	—	0.5	—	33.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +1.0 Level 2	—	1	—	66.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -1.0 Level 2	—	1	—	17.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +1.5 Level 2	—	1.5	—	82.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -1.5 Level 2	—	1.5	—	17.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +2.0 Level 2	—	2	—	82.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -2.0 Level 2	—	2	—	7.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +2.5 Level 2	—	2.5	—	92.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -2.5 Level 2	—	2.5	—	7.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +3.0 Level 2	—	3	—	92.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -3.0 Level 2	—	3	—	2.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +3.5 Level 2	—	3.5	—	97.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -3.5 Level 2	—	3.5	—	2.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +4.0 Level 2	—	4	—	97.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -4.0 Level 2	—	4	—	0.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home +4.5 Level 2	—	4.5	—	99.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away -4.5 Level 2	—	4.5	—	0.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-1 Level 2	—	—	—	10%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-1 Level 2	—	—	—	8.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-2 Level 2	—	—	—	7.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-2 Level 2	—	—	—	7.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
3-1 Level 2	—	—	—	5.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-0 Level 2	—	—	—	4.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
3-2 Level 2	—	—	—	4.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-3 Level 2	—	—	—	4.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-3 Level 2	—	—	—	4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-0 Level 2	—	—	—	3.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
0-0 Level 2	—	—	—	3.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
0-2 Level 2	—	—	—	3.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
0-1 Level 2	—	—	—	3.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
3-0 Level 2	—	—	—	3.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
3-3 Level 2	—	—	—	2.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
4-1 Level 2	—	—	—	2.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
0-3 Level 2	—	—	—	2.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
4-2 Level 2	—	—	—	2.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-4 Level 2	—	—	—	1.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-4 Level 2	—	—	—	1.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
4-0 Level 2	—	—	—	1.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
4-3 Level 2	—	—	—	1.2%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
3-4 Level 2	—	—	—	1.1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
5-1 Level 2	—	—	—	1%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
0-4 Level 2	—	—	—	0.9%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
5-2 Level 2	—	—	—	0.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
1-5 Level 2	—	—	—	0.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
5-0 Level 2	—	—	—	0.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
2-5 Level 2	—	—	—	0.6%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
4-4 Level 2	—	—	—	0.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home clean sheet Level 2	—	—	—	18.3%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away clean sheet Level 2	—	—	—	14.7%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Home win to nil Level 2	—	—	—	14.4%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Away win to nil Level 2	—	—	—	10.8%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Even goals Level 2	—	—	—	52.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial
Odd goals Level 2	—	—	—	47.5%	—	No price	58	60%	Partial

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.

MarseilleStrasbourg

Final result

Odds & Market

Model outputs by market

Model / market divergence

Market coverage for this fixture

Marseille
Strasbourg