GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 15:15
versus

Lens
Auxerre

Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Referee m-vernice
5 – 2
Full time
55%
Victoire Lens
LE55
Draw26
AU19
Head to head
5
LEN
2
Draw
1
AUX
janv. 2026LEN — AUX1 – 0
oct. 2025AUX — LEN1 – 2
avr. 2025LEN — AUX0 – 4
déc. 2024AUX — LEN2 – 2
juin 2023AUX — LEN1 – 3
janv. 2023LEN — AUX1 – 0
oct. 2019LEN — AUX0 – 0
mars 2019LEN — AUX2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h55%—
Our past analyses in this competition
1x2 · announced at 46%0,29Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 50%0,25Confirmed
1x2 · announced at 47%0,22Refuted
1x2 · announced at 46%0,21Refuted
1x2 · announced at 58%0,34Refuted
1x2 · announced at 56%0,31Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
1Paris Saint-Germain8247+29
2AS Monaco7441+14
3Olympique de Marseille7639+14
4LOSC Lille7236+10
5Olympique Lyonnais7133+5
Ligue 1 · 17:15
LENLEN
AUXAUX
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
5 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓55%Lens win · announced before kick-off
55%
Win LEN
what happened
26%
Draw
19%
Win AUX
62%at opening→55%at kick-off−7 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
LE winDrawAU win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552732_210805hv1.9.354%64%

What would have to change

i22.1 pt span
Red card55 → 33.9-21.1
Opponent scores first55 → 52.2-2.8
High tempo55 → 53.7-1.3
Low tempo55 → 56+1
Key substitution55 → 54-1
Early goal55 → 550

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
5
LE wins
2
Draws
1
AU wins
17 Jan 2026LEN — AUX1 – 0
4 Oct 2025AUX — LEN1 – 2
27 Apr 2025LEN — AUX0 – 4
14 Dec 2024AUX — LEN2 – 2
3 Jun 2023AUX — LEN1 – 3
14 Jan 2023LEN — AUX1 – 0
21 Oct 2019LEN — AUX0 – 0
9 Mar 2019LEN — AUX2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i