High Signal🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · — · 13:00
versus
Angers
Lille
Stade Raymond-Kopa · Referee j-stinat
Pre-match analysis
72%
Under 2.5 goals
AN14
Draw33
LI53
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 15,00Raw implied probability20,0%Sum of the 1X2 book104,1%Operator margin removed−4,1 ptsDe-margined consensus19%Our model14.4%Measured gap−4.6 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 2.0 goals—39.2%63%−23.8
Under 2.0 goals—60.8%37%+23.8
Home over 1.0 goals—15.7%36%−20.3
Home under 1.0 goals—84.3%64%+20.3
Over 3.0 goals—13.8%34%−20.2
Under 3.0 goals—86.2%66%+20.2
Over 2.5 goals—28%48%−20
Under 2.5 goals—72%52%+20
Both teams to score—32.4%49%−16.6
Both teams to score: no—67.6%51%+16.6
Over 3.5 goals—11.5%28%−16.5
Under 3.5 goals—88.5%72%+16.5
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
