GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Eredivisie · · 18:00
versus

Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score
SP48
Draw27
ZW25
Why
PEC Zwolle's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
Sparta Rotterdam takes 1.38 points per game at home, the opponent 0.71 away
PEC Zwolle has lost 5 of its last 6
PEC Zwolle concedes 2.8 goals per game away
What could fool us
PEC Zwolle takes 1.57 points per game at home against 0.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Sparta Rotterdam has lost 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Sparta Rotterdam at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SPASPA
ZWOZWO
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score
48%
SPA
27%
Draw
25%
ZWO
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • PEC Zwolle's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
  • Sparta Rotterdam takes 1.38 points per game at home, the opponent 0.71 away
  • PEC Zwolle has lost 5 of its last 6
  • PEC Zwolle concedes 2.8 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • PEC Zwolle takes 1.57 points per game at home against 0.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Sparta Rotterdam has lost 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 19
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Sparta Rotterdam at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions